Jon Ruark

Most people know me as the data guy who forecasted the end of Freemasonry around the year 2040. A few days ago, someone reached out to me and asked: “What do you consider as the demise or end state of the fraternity? No more Masons or no more grand lodges? What does 2040 look like? ” As someone who works professionally as a facilitator, I often lead groups through an exercise known as a “premortem” — a strategic tool where we imagine a future failure and then work backward to understand how it happened. It helps teams clarify risks, blind spots, and patterns that are often invisible in the present. I had never thought to apply that to my doomsday clock as well. I won’t attempt to offer any solutions here, as the variety of solutions to “Save Masonry” are context-dependent, but instead will paint a somewhat depressing, but probably realistic view of what that decline will look like.
2025–2030: Signs of Structural Stress
By the mid-2020s, the reality of Freemasonry’s long-anticipated decline becomes inescapable. In lodge after lodge, membership dwindles to a shadow of what it once was. The average age of a Mason climbs into the late 60s, and the flow of new initiates slows to a trickle. Many lodges find themselves unable to meet the legal or constitutional requirements to function. The quiet closing of lodge doors becomes a regular occurrence.
In response, Grand Lodges initiate sweeping reforms to maintain operational viability. Smaller lodges, especially in rural areas, are merged with each other, and then with larger urban counterparts for financial reasons. The process is often painful, resulting in the erasure of unique lodge cultures and traditions that had survived for generations. Members who once felt rooted in their communities find themselves adrift in unfamiliar settings, and ritual practices begin to flatten and lose their provincial flair.
As the organizational landscape shifts, the financial picture darkens. Without enough dues-paying members to support infrastructure, lodges begin selling off their properties. Some Masonic temples — rich in history and architectural beauty — are sold to developers or repurposed as commercial venues. The proceeds keep the lights on a little longer for Grand Lodges, but each sale feels like another nail in the coffin. This is not shocking for anyone who has been reading about the white elephants that old lodge buildings are to lodges today.
Meanwhile, the quality of Masonic ritual declines sharply. With few experienced ritualists and little mentoring, ceremonies become abbreviated or clumsy. The stalwarts who kept the ritual alive are now gone. Lodges that once served as philosophical sanctuaries begin to feel more like aging social clubs, where newer members never gain access to the deeper layers of meaning. Grand Lodges have to decide if ritual perfection is worth the cost of membership.
Public engagement, too, all but disappears. Gone are the days of community parades, open houses, and widely publicized charitable events. Freemasonry fades from public consciousness, and its already mysterious image becomes one of irrelevance rather than intrigue, an anachronism in today’s modern era.
2030–2035: Institutional Collapse Accelerates
As the 2030s begin, the collapse picks up speed, or even accelerates. Local lodges close en masse. Some are given dignified farewells; others quietly go dark without ceremony. Entire Masonic districts vanish within months. Remaining members, many of them elderly, are encouraged to affiliate with surviving lodges — but geographic and emotional distances make this transition difficult.
Grand Lodges themselves begin to falter. The financial instability becomes untenable. With revenue nearly gone and operating costs unchanged, some state and national Grand Lodges declare bankruptcy. Staff are let go, publications cease, and charitable arms are dissolved. A few Grand Lodges seek to merge with neighboring jurisdictions, but even that becomes an act of desperation rather than strategy.
With closures come disputes. Legal battles over the ownership of temples, charities, and other Masonic assets break out. Egos reign in the wars to keep the last scraps of the right of ownership of certain degrees and rituals. Some would rather die holding an obscure title than see it consolidated into a national body. In cases where documentation is incomplete or contradictory, former members, creditors, and local authorities all stake claims. Some properties are repossessed, others are mired in litigation for years. Grand Lodges scramble to retain legal counsel just to stay afloat.
The Masonic temples that once stood as monuments to civic pride and spiritual pursuit are reborn under new identities. Some become luxury condos, others morph into bars, theaters, or coworking spaces. A few lucky buildings, particularly those with historical designation, are preserved and converted into museums or cultural centers. For many former Masons, these transformations stir a mix of grief and resignation.
Amidst the chaos, a quiet movement begins to form among historians and academics. Recognizing that the end may be near, they launch initiatives to preserve the legacy of Freemasonry. Rituals are recorded, archives are digitized, and oral histories are compiled. Universities and libraries begin to house collections that tell the story of a fraternity that once shaped much of the civic and philosophical life of the Western world.
2035–2040: Cultural Fossilization & Rebirth in Fragments
By the mid-to-late 2030s, the institutional framework of Freemasonry is effectively gone. Most Grand Lodges are defunct, existing only to manage a few residual assets or maintain minimal legal compliance and keep 501(c)(10) recognition. Inter-jurisdictional communication ceases, and Masonic conferences become relics of the past. The diplomatic governance that once maintained uniformity and connection collapses completely.
Out of the ashes, however, a few sparks of renewal emerge. Small groups of scholars, mystics, and former Masons begin to form what might be called Masonic micro-orders. These are lean, self-organized societies that strip Freemasonry down to its philosophical core. Freed from the weight of bureaucracy, they explore the esoteric teachings with a vigor not seen in decades. Some meet in person; others thrive in digital enclaves, where ritual and reflection are shared in virtual spaces.
With no living tradition to anchor it, traditional Freemasonry begins to drift into myth. Documentaries and speculative books flourish, reinterpreting the fraternity through the lens of mystery and lost knowledge. Conspiracy theorists have a field day. Masonic symbols continue to appear in art, film, and literature — but as aesthetic flourishes rather than emblems of active practice. History and myth intermingle until the original meaning becomes almost unknowable.
The last generation of traditionally initiated Masons begins to pass away. Some make a final effort to pass on the teachings, donate regalia to museums, or preserve documents for future study. But for the most part, their departure marks the end of a living lineage. A few lodges may still operate, but their purpose is largely ceremonial, more historical society than initiatic order.
Post-2040 Possibilities
In the world after 2040, Masonry exists primarily as memory and inspiration. A handful of legacy societies continue to operate, loosely based on Masonic principles. These are often intellectual circles, focused on philosophy, ethical development, and symbolic exploration. They acknowledge their Masonic roots while freely adapting to contemporary needs.
The digital realm becomes the new frontier. Online lodges and esoteric clubs arise, blending Masonic ritual with other spiritual traditions. Virtual reality temples, encrypted forums, and live-streamed ritual and lectures become the norm. These spaces are often experimental, sometimes chaotic, but they preserve a spark of the old Craft’s quest for light.
Former Masonic temples, now museums or event spaces, serve as time capsules. Visitors can explore exhibits, attend lectures, and interact with immersive experiences that bring Masonic history to life. These institutions ensure that the memory of Freemasonry continues, even if its practice does not.
And still, the influence lingers. From courthouse steps to civic rituals, from literary symbolism to the cornerstones of public buildings, echoes of Freemasonry remain embedded in our culture. The fraternity may no longer thrive as a living institution, but its imprint is indelible — a legacy etched in stone, story, and spirit.
No attempt to predict the future is perfect. This narrative is an attempt to guess what will realistically happen as the support structure of traditional Freemasonry is no longer able or necessary to continue with the way it operates today. As with most of my predictions, I encourage the reader to prove me wrong. I want to see the tradition and legacy of Freemasonry live on for generations. Nothing would make me happier than to see this prediction be a laughing stock at a lodge event fifty years from now. Until then, we can hope and wait, or we can rise to grow the organization to what we wish it to be. The choice is yours.
Jon T. Ruark is a Past Master of The Patriot Lodge no. 1957 in Fairfax, VA and a member of several other appendant bodies. His masonic interests lean toward the philosophical and esoteric. In addition, Jon is the founder and co-host of The Masonic Roundtable podcast. When not at lodge, Jon is a project manager, AI engineer, and Agile and Innovation coach for various public and private endeavors.

The philosophical core is all we really need to save. The friendships among men are real, good, and valuable – but they will all pass away in due time just like the men themselves. It’s all temporary. The current practitioners are just caretakers.
I think in a very real sense it is impossible to “kill” freemasonry. So much is already written that if every mason in the USA were to die in one instant, three generations on people would LARP and cosplay Masonry until they got a close variant right again, because it speaks to something deep inside of people. This is also why I suppose that different forms of this thing have existed most time & places, even if they weren’t in the direct lineage.
Consider: if humanity were to eliminate the institution of family, almost certainly it would be “re-invented” elsewhere because it’s useful, functional, and true.
The KS building metaphors can be lost. The wording of any particular jurisdiction can be lost (my bet is on the mouth-to-ear jurisdictions, obviously). But the core itself? I don’t see it.
So it really depends on what we want out of masonry. If we want big buildings, numbers, and charitable foundations yes I think the craft is doomed. But the real inheritance seems safe.
This was a solid write-up from Jon, and he’s not wrong about a lot of the trends. Membership is down. Some lodges are fading out. The buildings are expensive and often more burden than blessing. No argument there.
But the whole “death of Freemasonry” talk misses something important. What’s fading isn’t the Craft. It’s the bloated structure we built during the postwar boom when numbers were high and dues were low. That model was never sustainable. The ritual, the philosophy, and the personal growth are still here for anyone willing to show up and put in the work.
Some lodges will close. That’s just reality. But if they were barely functioning anyway, maybe it’s not the tragedy we make it out to be. I’d rather see ten active brothers meeting with purpose than fifty names on a roster who don’t show up. This isn’t collapse. It’s pruning. A reset, and is much needed.
Freemasonry isn’t dying. It’s stripping off the layers it doesn’t need anymore. We don’t need money, charities, grand lodges, extravagant ceremonies, or buildings. None of that defines the Craft. The future belongs to lodges that stay focused and live the values. The rest will fade, and honestly, maybe that’s for the best. We don’t need to rush through members. We need to slow down, give those interested a great ritualistic experience. If your lodge can’t do that, maybe we should be having some hard talks about what the future of your lodge is. IMO, the problem is people putting their heads in the sand and not having those brutally honest talks we really should be having — like tightening up who we allow to join us. My 2 cents, don’t take offense. What are your thoughts?
Anthony Popelka
PM Oriental Lodge # 33
Chicago, IL
Wonderfully realistic write up. Although we aren’t defined by our buildings they’re a symbol of pride in our fraternity, pride we lost along the way. I think we will rally around and save a few temples and they will become part of a new “pilgrimage model” that seems to resonate with next generation of Masonry.
But Grand Lodges…I look at the budgets some have and the vast expenditures and worry how sustainable it is. Ours went to 2 employees years ago and their salaries comprise approximate 1/4-1/3 of our annual budget. We’ve slashed travel, and “perks” for officers over the years but I know many GLs have not, and I worry for them.
I think the real winner at the end of 2040 will be T.O. lodges. More often than not they have sufficient income and member dedication.
T. Lucas Minton
Mt. Pleasant Lodge #99
Ward, Arkansas
Grand Senior Warden